Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.191847 0.216344 0.242204 0.271480 0.303644 0.337846 0.376907
2025-06-08 0.157690 0.190493 0.227064 0.270662 0.321017 0.377137 0.444196
2025-06-15 0.136901 0.175487 0.220556 0.276658 0.344166 0.422309 0.519092
2025-06-22 0.118077 0.159868 0.210800 0.276712 0.358950 0.457332 0.582995
2025-06-29 0.103024 0.146752 0.202168 0.276446 0.372170 0.490057 0.644725
2025-07-06 0.090753 0.135585 0.194502 0.276063 0.384297 0.521098 0.704895
2025-07-13 0.081955 0.127944 0.190427 0.279481 0.400787 0.557671 0.772877
2025-07-20 0.075839 0.123271 0.189695 0.286882 0.422383 0.601209 0.851021
2025-07-27 0.068930 0.116644 0.185498 0.288860 0.436264 0.634624 0.916579
2025-08-03 0.064176 0.112698 0.184663 0.295232 0.456137 0.676442 0.994431
2025-08-10 0.060291 0.109659 0.184789 0.302750 0.477652 0.720955 1.077087
2025-08-17 0.054594 0.103126 0.179053 0.301035 0.485490 0.746376 1.133829
2025-08-24 0.049545 0.097304 0.174156 0.300524 0.495418 0.775654 1.197868
2025-08-31 0.044928 0.091731 0.169181 0.299465 0.504291 0.803544 1.260671
2025-09-07 0.042249 0.089279 0.169037 0.305890 0.524641 0.848638 1.349429
2025-09-14 0.038660 0.084792 0.165120 0.305896 0.534896 0.878989 1.417431
2025-09-21 0.035381 0.080529 0.161216 0.305579 0.544444 0.908378 1.484646
2025-09-28 0.032412 0.076534 0.157439 0.305147 0.553617 0.937289 1.551743
2025-10-05 0.030330 0.074072 0.156182 0.308852 0.569504 0.976820 1.635749
2025-10-12 0.029014 0.073040 0.157426 0.316888 0.592712 1.028273 1.739120
2025-10-19 0.027030 0.070385 0.155433 0.319034 0.606087 1.064573 1.820009
2025-10-26 0.025788 0.069200 0.156119 0.325954 0.627673 1.114372 1.922934
2025-11-02 0.024771 0.068405 0.157483 0.334115 0.651595 1.168464 2.033762